Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article Release Issue: A857-W550

魏京生基金会新闻与文章发布号: A857-W550


Release Date: December 21, 2014



Topic: Was It a Failure or a Victory? -- Wei Jingsheng

标题:失败还是胜利? -- 魏京生


Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)



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Was It a Failure or a Victory?

-- Wei Jingsheng



The Hong Kong people's umbrella revolution to struggle for true universal suffrage has ended with the government forcefully clearing the way with violence.  Some were shouting: failed, it has failed.  To describe these people with a popular phrase in Taiwan, they are "praying for the worst".  They are not so called elites, or maybe they are the elites who brown their noses with the Communist regime.


According to the art of war, as well as common sense, soldiers "praying for the worst" and calling for retreat while the war is going on, thus shaking the morale of the army, should get their heads chopped off.  Now the first phase of this battle has ended.  It is the time to learn a lesson from the past experience to get ready for the next round of fighting.  When this struggle for true universal suffrage in Hong Kong ended with the government forcefully clearing the way with violence, there were more than 200 people who did not retreat but were arrested instead.  I praise this "exit mechanism" that was taken in action and not just words.  This action is to uphold the spirit of struggle.  It is to keep some reserve.  And it means the struggle is not over.


Instead, it was the Communist regime that made a small compromise.  It did not try to settle the score now, but is waiting for its opportunities later.  The more than 200 people arrested were quickly released, which is in line with the practice of the international community.  So Xi Jinping should get a little bit of praise for this.  Indeed he is a little wiser than those Communist bandits such as Deng Xiaoping and Wang Zhen.  Xi did not turn the situation into "the fishes died while trying to break the net, while the net is broken as well".  Thus he saved this country, saved the Communist Party, and meanwhile saved the democracy movement in Hong Kong.


Of course there are people who are not satisfied and even angry.  People like Leung Chun-ying (Chief Executive of Hong Kong), Zhang Dejiang and a bunch of diehards with vested interest are very dissatisfied.  But Xi Jinping made compromises, so they have no option but to wait for their turn to settle scores.  Xi should not be foolish enough to give them the chance.  This movement struggling for true universal suffrage in Hong Kong was not lead by one or two people.  There were leaders everywhere.  So to settle scores later on with more arrests would just create opportunities for people to take to the streets in protest again.


Further, the next time people would be better prepared, certainly with more momentum.  Instead, I rather hope that Xi Jinping IS a little foolish, and makes concessions to these people who want to settle scores.  Letting these people make trouble gives us an opportunity to test the Communist regime, as well as to see how heroes are made out of the people.


There is a quotation by the Communist leader Mao Zedong: the just cause has always has better effort after failure; then more effort after more failure, until the victory is achieved.  This saying is quite correct.  We should not waste good words despite they were said by the wrong person.  We should do according to the correctness of the good words.


The just cause really follows such a law, that it can not reach its ultimate goal over night.  However, we must retain the spirit, retain the momentum, to be better fit for another fight.  What we should not do is, as the "three sons" did, "pray for the worst" even before the battle, and align themselves with Leung Chun-ying to breath out the same "illegal" words about the movement.  In my view, these kinds of people are not normal people, could be lack spines or are spies.


In addition to retaining the spirit and the momentum, we also need to draw lessons.  How could the Communist regime fool quite a few people and thus reduce the enthusiasm of people to participate?  The main reason for this battle being almost lost is due to the hesitation of the democrats in Hong Kong, as well as not the best way of using the media to promote the cause.


The hesitation of the democrats in Hong Kong indicates this movement was in a rush to fight in response, without enough mental preparation and without leadership development.  This lack is primarily the responsibility of the adults.  The junky political culture that is popular in Hong Kong and Taiwan also played a negative role.  Everyone was scrambling to stage a show for themselves, rather than spending time and energy spreading positive messages, thus voluntarily giving up the public opinion.


The biggest failure this time was to let the negative publicity of the Communist Party gradually prevail despite the strong support of the public.  What played the biggest role is precisely this kind of junky culture popular in Hong Kong and Taiwan, that thinks politics consists of intrigues and deals, and heroes are made by way of putting up a show in any way possible, including unethical ways to create a buzz and publicity for fame.  This kind of junky culture also greatly influenced the 1989 democratic movement in Mainland China and is one of the reasons it resulted in failure.


When people's time and effort are wasted to put up shows in any way possible to create buzz and publicity for fame, naturally they would ignore unknown work and give up public opinion.  The mentality of only focusing on results rather than paying attention to the process, and wanting to be heroes without paying a price is the reason for the hesitation of the adults.  These attitudes all affected and resulted in the failure of public opinion, and are the main reason for the movement to almost fail.  Fortunately, the insistence of not retreating at the end retained the spirit of idealism.


Some people will find other reasons or unfavorable factors, and claim the media are all in the hands of the Communist regime.  This is true, but not right.  Indeed, the Communist regime does control most of the media including overseas Chinese media, through ways of buyout and penetration.  But there is the Internet that they cannot fully control.  The social media of Facebook, Twitter, etc. were the main tool of the Arabic Spring movement.  The people in Hong Kong are known as technologically advanced.  Why did they not take advantage of these advanced media?  It was not negligence, but immaturity, including the influence of the junky culture.


From the experience of the Arabic Spring movement, we know that even though a government holds all the media, it will still lose to the publicity of the Internet.  Here there is a very basic principle that did not get attention from the media study; that is how these recipients are willing to believe or not willing to believe.  The rule of Nazi's Goebbels "If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it" really has a premise which is that people still want to believe.  His additional premise is that people can not hear the opinion outside of the lie.


The electronic Internet has precisely broken this monopoly of public opinion.  Years of experience also make most people refuse to accept the Communist lies from its "Ministry of Truth".  The fact that people do not believe the Communist regime even when it is telling the truth, enhanced the power of the online media.  It is precisely due to this underlying disbelief that the Communist Party had to put a sheep skin over its wolf's body, to spend a lot of money and effort to buy the once free media, include that of the Westerners.  However, the Internet offers so much freedom that the Communist regime cannot find a better way besides attempting to block the information and feed their online police.


Instead convincing some old men and old ladies one by one according to the guidance of one particular person, it is better to use the Internet to convince a large group of people who are ready and willing to accept.  Further, it is even easier to connect with comrades of the same ambition through the Internet.  Why waste time on a few people who might not follow as quickly?  This path is an easy and quick way that we should take.


So the real way to the victory is to accumulate momentum for the next wave of pro-democracy movements that will come soon.  In comparison to the revolution of the Westerners and the Arabs, the people in Hong Kong are indeed immature, like child's play.  Some people actually believe that the Communist regime is an old gentleman for them to act like spoiled kids.


But the Communist Party is very serious indeed.  They are acting to fight a big enemy while facing a deep abyss.  Although it is unreasonable, it has taken advantage with proper measures, and thus did not fail all the way.  This kind of dedication is indeed worthy of we democrats to learn and to follow suit.



To hear Mr. Wei Jingsheng's related commentary, please visit:



(Written and recorded on December 17, 2014.  Broadcasted by Radio Free Asia.)



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Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article Release Issue: A857-W550

魏京生基金会新闻与文章发布号: A857-W550


Release Date: December 21, 2014



Topic: Was It a Failure or a Victory? -- Wei Jingsheng

标题:失败还是胜利? -- 魏京生


Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)









-- 魏京生





按兵法也按常理,战斗正在进行中,唱衰喊撤退动摇军心者,应该论斩。现在第一阶段战斗结束了,反倒是总结经验教训以利再战的时候。争普选运动以警察清场结 束,二百多人没有撤退而是被捕。我大笑着赞赏这个退场机制,在最后一刻只做不说。这就是坚持了抗争的精神。这就是留有后手。这就是没有结束。











































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