Wei
Jingsheng Foundation News and Article Release Issue: A877-W564
魏京生基金会新闻与文章发布号： A877-W564
Release
Date: August 23, 2015
发布日：2015年8月23日
Topic:
Downfall of Guo Boxiong - The Signal of Bigger Moves? (Voice of America)
标题：郭伯雄落马预示山雨欲来？(美国之音)
Original
Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)
此号以中文为准（英文在前，中文在后）
Note:
Please use "Simplified Chinese (GB2312)" encoding to view the Chinese
parts of this release. If this mail
does not display properly in your email program, please send your request for
special delivery to us or visit:
http://www.weijingsheng.org/report/report2015/report2015-08/WeiJSonGuoBXfall150823VOAinterviewA877-W564.htm which
contains identical information.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Downfall
of Guo Boxiong - The Signal of Bigger Moves?
--
by YE Bing, Voice of America
July
31, 2015
Washington
DC -- The former Vice-Chairman of the Central Military Commission of the
People's Republic of China, Guo Boxiong, has been expelled from the Chinese
Communist Party and sent to military court with charges of serious
bribery. With one more high ranking
military official in China being arrested for corruption, some people think
that the anti-corruption movement lead by President Xi Jinping and Wang Qishan
has gained an overwhelming victory that would be beneficial for further
strikes, and bring more corrupted officials to justice. There are also analyses pointing out that,
with the upcoming high level Communist leadership to hold its BeiDaiHe
conference at the summer resort, the opposition within the Communist Party is
getting on the move. As Xi Jinping
faces major political and economic pressure, announcing the to decision to deal
with Guo's corruption could deter opposition forces within the communist party
and People's Liberation Army (PLA).
According
to a July 30th report from Xinhua News Agency, Guo's offenses include using his
position to receive benefits including bribes through him or family members in
exchange of promotions, etc. According
to the official decision announced before the August 1st People's Liberation
Army's Day, Guo's violation of the Communist Party's rules and serious bribery
are very serious crimes and has had massive negative social influences.
*
Xin Zilin: Prosecution of the Military Head is a Sign that Military Power is
Firmly in the Hands of Chairman Xi Jinping *
Regarding
the arrest of the former top head in the Chinese military, Xin Ziling, the
former Chief Editor of the PLA Military Academy's Publishing House said it is
unsurprising. But he also thinks that
it is worth noticing this news to be released right before the Army Day and the
highly profiled Beidaihe Conference for Chinese Communist Party leaders. He told VOA that it means that anti-corruption
in the Chinese military has won an overwhelming victory, and it illustrates Xi
Jinping has firmly grasped the military power, which is prerequisite for
ensuring that anti-corruption is be able to be carried further.
Xin
Zilin said, "It was already a victory that Guo got nailed. But for the information to go public, it
pretty much means that Chairman Xi is both resolute and prudent in dealing with
this issue. It is very significant that
he dealt with this and announced it to the public before the Beidaihe
Conference. This means the war on
corruption inside the Chinese military has achieved an overwhelming
victory. The influence of Guo Boxiong
was even greater than Xu Caihou. His
son Guo Zhenggang once bragged that no one dared to offend his family because
every single leader in the army ranking higher than Corp Commander was promoted
by his father. It was pretty much
true."
*
Jiang Zemin Was Accused of Promoting Corrupted Generals *
Xu
Caihou, the military leader ranked the 2nd highest in the military who was in
charge of political and human resource management was also investigated for
accepting large amounts of bribery more than one year ago. He escaped trial in the military court
because of his death by cancer. Xin
Ziling pointed out, Guo Boxiong and Xu Caihou were implanted into the military
headquarters by the so-called "third generation supreme leader" --
Jiang Zemin, in order to cast his own influence during the Hu Jintao and Wen
Jiabao era.
Xin
Ziling said, "Guo Boxiong and Xu Caihou were like playing in a basketball
team to keep away Hu Jintao's opportunity to score."
This
retired military officer who has researched Chinese modern history also pointed
out; the Chinese authority gave Guo Boxiong a free pass for the sake of a good
public image of the Chinese military.
The reason for them delaying such a long time to investigate Guo Boxiong
after the fall of Xu Caihou is because there was no way to not held them
responsible for such severe corruption in the Chinese military."
Xin
Zilin said, " Folks like Guo Boxiong collect 20 million to 30 million RMB
for a promotion to the rank of Lieutenant General, 5 million to 10 million for
a Major-General. The one gave the most
money got the promotion. Therefore,
during the time that Guo Boxiong and Xu Caihou were in charge of the military,
I could safely say that the command chain of the military was completely
rotten. They were trying to avoid the
charges against these men, thus to keep a good public image of the military and
the Chinese Communist Party. However,
they figured out that they would have to face reality. It is like doing a surgery, you have to cut
it all clean."
*
Wei Jingsheng: Arresting a Military Leader During Such a Sensitive Time is
Meant to Warn Opposition *
Wei
Jingsheng, the well-known Chinese dissident in the USA, thinks that the
announcing of Guo's crimes right before the Beidaihe conference was meant to
deter opposition forces within Chinese Military for the authority of Xi Jinping
and consolidate his power, especially within military.
He
said: "Guo Boxiong is also another important leader in the military. After Xu Caihou, it is Guo's turn now. Both of them were really powerful in
military. Therefore, I think announcing
Guo's crime at this moment could warn opposition in the military who might rise
up. It is the common practice for the
Chinese Communist Party to take out people who are related to Guo after such an
announcement about him. By doing so,
the rebellions in the military could be suppressed. At this time of the BeiDaiHe conference, it could also be a
warning to the other leaders who are not satisfied with the current
situation. I think this has important
significance."
Wei
Jingsheng analysis that " Although it is said that 'the Communist Party
commands the guns', in fact the military has mostly been under the control of
military elder leaders in the past. So
during the ten years of the Hu and Wen era, they could not take over the
military. The military kept its old
relationship. In fact, the relationship
within the military during the Jiang Zemin era was very complex too. Jiang spent a lot of effort and only got
into his hand when he was about to retire.
Before that, we had all noticed that he kept shifting the
personals. Now Xi Jinping is also
shifting the personals in the military.
But his conduct is different than Jiang. Besides shifting the personals, he arrested the heads of the
military. Instead of a gentle and
slower pace, his action is big and strong, thus opposition he has run into
inside of the Communist Party and cadres is quite strong as well. Further, with the current economic downturn,
Xi's economic measures have all failed.
He has reached a very dangerous situation, thus he is really
ruthless."
According
to some recent rumors that are quite popular, some retired senior Communist
leaders intended to launch an attack against Xi Jinping during the Beidaihe
conference next month. There are even
rumors that some people are plotting a coup during Xi Jinping's visit to the US
in September. Zhou Yongkang, a former
member of the Standing Committee of the Communist Party, was sentenced to life
in prison in a secret trial last month, rather than the widely expected death
penalty with reprieve. Some analysts
believe that such a lenient sentence
for Zhou Yongkang is the result of a compromise in those heated wars between
the Communist factions.
*
Xin Ziling: Jiang Zemin Maybe be Investigated Soon *
Many
critics have alleged that the massive anti-corruption campaign carried out
since the 18th Congress of the Communist Party is selective, with few people
from the "Second Red Generation" families ever got in trouble.
Because
of this, Xin Ziling, the retired former Colonel of People's Liberation Army,
said that by the disposal of Guo Boxiong showing the determination to eliminate
corruption by the high levels of the Communist Party would encourage the
Chinese people and gives a significant push for an anti-corruption campaign
nationwide. He predicted that the
former Communist Party leader Jiang Zemin may be prosecuted soon.
He
said: "Xi Jinping said repeatedly that there is no bottom line. Anyone who has problems will be
investigated. It should be this
way. The former supreme leader Jiang
Zemin has to be dealt with. One cannot
avoid this. But it has to be more
careful and more cautious than what was done with Guo Boxiong, with determined
will yet reliable steps, to avoid it causing any shock in the country. With Guo's arrest, it means that the army
would not go wrong and now Xi Jinping has the military power firmly in his
grasp. This is the prerequisite to
continuing an anti-corruption campaign."
*
Wei Jingsheng: the Anti-corruption
Campaign Is In Trouble *
Wei
Jingsheng, a senior democracy movement activist in exile in the US, believes
that the one party political system in China has created a situation that has
almost no clean government officials.
The anti-corruption campaign is hard to be carried out, as Xi Jinping
faces serious political and economical realities now, as well as strong
opposition from the bureaucratic class of the Communist Party. Therefore, Xi may face serious challenges
from different factions within the Communist Party during the upcoming Beidaihe
conference."
Wei
Jingsheng said: "These bureaucrats will rebel if anti-corruption
continues. This is already a very
realistic problem now. Think about it,
which officer might be clean (of corruption)?
Who knows whose turn is coming up?
I have been saying for a couple of years now, this kind of campaign
cannot be carried on unless they have public support, like Mao Zedong did
during the Cultural Revolution period when he could truly mobilize the mass to
participate. If so, then they need to
mobilize the people and to incite the mass to catch these corrupt officials by
sandwiching them from the top and the bottom.
However, they are so afraid of the public now. They are only relying on the authority. But how great is their authority? Their authority comes only from the bureaucrats, the whole
bureaucratic class. Yet they want to
wage a war against those bureaucrats without the support from the people. After all, they do not have enough
authority."
*
Wei Jingsheng: Opposition Within the Communist Party Became Xi Jinping's Taboo
*
Wei
pointed out that Xi Jinping's political opponents within the Communist Party
are not only Jiang Zemin and his close associates, who brutally persecuted
Falun Gong practitioners; Xi's more direct opponents is the small political
circle that emerged during the Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao era.
Wei
said: "Of course the Falun Gong is after Jiang Zemin. But I think Jiang is not that important
anymore because he has stepped down so long ago. For more than ten years now, new political circles have already
been formed. But of course, Jiang is
still their respected veteran, right?
But they have their own circle, with their own influence. Therefore, Xi Jinping actually needs to deal
with the political circles formed during the Hu and Wen era. Otherwise, he cannot get the real
power. China has a tradition that
"people always know how to deal with you, no matter what your commands
are. " This is his relatively
taboo. "
*
Chinese Communist Party Newspaper: Counting on the Support from the People
During the Anti-corruption Campaign *
On
July 31, People's Daily, the Communist Party newspaper, published a
commentator's article regarding Guo Boxiong's expelling from the Party and
being sent to the military court. The
article stated that anti-corruption is a battle "we cannot afford to
lose." The more critical the moment, the more we cannot "let it
go". The more stalemate the
situation, the more need for us to exert more power to win.
This
article, with the title of "Unite the Party and People's Hearts to Anti-Corruption
With an Iron Fist", says that the anti-corruption campaign led by Xi
Jinping and Wang Qishan is "never on a whim, and no one is trying to find
fault purposefully against another, but to take responsibility for the history
and the people."
That
article went on to say , "if we do not offend hundreds of corrupt
officials, then we would offend 1.3 billion people, as well as those who listen
to the Communist Party and follow the disciplines. It is more than clearly necessary to gain politically and the
support of the people."
Link
of the original report:
http://www.voachinese.com/content/former-pla-top-leader-procecuted-for-birbery-20150731/2887997.html
Link
of the report in audio:
http://weijingsheng.org/interviews/interviews2015/WeiJSonGuoBXfall150731VOAinterview.mp3
-----------------------------------------------------------------
This
is a message from WeiJingSheng.org
The
Wei Jingsheng Foundation and the Overseas Chinese Democracy Coalition are
dedicated to the promotion of human rights and democratization in China. We appreciate your assistance and help in
any means. We pledge solidarity to all
who struggle for human rights and democratic governance on this planet.
You
are welcome to use or distribute this release.
However, please credit with this foundation and its website at:
www.weijingsheng.org
Although
we are unable to afford to pay royalty fees at this time, we are seeking your
contribution as well. You may send your
articles, comments and opinions to: HCP@weijingsheng.org. Please remember, only in text files, not in
attachments.
For
website issues and suggestions, you may contact our professional staff and web
master at: webmaster@Weijingsheng.org
To
find out more about us, please also visit our websites at: www.WeiJingSheng.org
and www.ChinaLaborUnion.org for news and information for Overseas Chinese
Democracy Coalition and human rights and democracy movement as whole,
especially our Chinese Labor Union Base.
You
may contact Ciping Huang at: HCP@Weijingsheng.org or
Wei
Jingsheng Foundation office at: 1-202-270-6980
Wei
Jingsheng Foundation's postal address is:
Wei
Jingsheng Foundation, P. O. Box 15449, Washington, DC 20003, USA
You
are receiving this message because you had previous shown your interest in learning
more about Mr. Wei Jingsheng and the Chinese Democratic Movement. To be removed from the list, simply reply
this message and use "unsubscribe" as the Subject. Please allow us a few days to process your
request.
*****************************************************************
中文版
Wei
Jingsheng Foundation News and Article Release Issue: A877-W564
魏京生基金会新闻与文章发布号： A877-W564
Release
Date: August 23, 2015
发布日：2015年8月23日
Topic:
Downfall of Guo Boxiong - The Signal of Bigger Moves? (Voice of America)
标题：郭伯雄落马预示山雨欲来？(美国之音)
Original
Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)
此号以中文为准（英文在前，中文在后）
如有中文乱码问题，请与我们联系或访问:
http://www.weijingsheng.org/report/report2015/report2015-08/WeiJSonGuoBXfall150823VOAinterviewA877-W564.htm
-----------------------------------------------------------------
郭伯雄落马预示山雨欲来？
美国之音叶兵
2015.07.31
12:16
华盛顿-
原中共中央军委副主席郭伯雄被宣布因涉嫌严重受贿而遭开除党籍，并移交军法处置。对于又一位曾在中国军方位高权重的将领涉贪被抓并公之于众，有评论认为，这标志着习近平和王岐山主导的反腐运动在军内取得了压倒性胜利，有利于进一步"打虎上山"，给贪腐成风的官僚阶层动大手术。也有分析指出，中共高层即将在北戴河避暑胜地开会，党内反对势力蠢蠢欲动，在习近平面临重大政治和经济压力之际，公布对郭伯雄的处理决定，可以在党内和军内起到震慑作用。
新华社7月30日深夜发出的报道称，郭伯雄的罪行包括利用职务便利，为他人谋取职务晋升等方面的利益；直接或者通过家人收受贿赂。在人民解放军建军纪念日前夕公布的处理决定称，郭伯雄严重违反党纪，涉嫌受贿犯罪，情节严重，影响恶劣。
* 辛子陵：敢动军头表明军权在握
*
对于原中国军方头号人物郭伯雄涉贪落马，原中国军事学院出版社社长辛子陵表示这并不意外，但他认为选择八一建军节和中共高层的北戴河会议前夕公布这个消息意义重大。他对美国之音表示，这意味着军队反腐取得了压倒性胜利，说明习近平已经牢牢抓住了军权，这是保证反腐进一步深入的前提条件。
辛子陵说："他（郭伯雄）被揪出来当然就已经胜利了。但是公布出来，表明习近平主席在这个问题的处理上既坚决又稳妥。这个时候把他处理、公布了，在北戴河会议前夕，这个意义很大。这意味着，军队反腐取得了压倒性胜利。因为郭伯雄的影响比徐才厚还要大一些。他的儿子郭正钢曾经口出狂言，说动我们家，军以上的干部都是我爸爸提拔的。也确实如此。"
* 江核心被指提拔重用贪官
*
一年多前同样因涉嫌收受巨额贿赂而被查办的徐才厚曾是负责解放军政治工作和人事安排的军方二号人物，后因死于癌症而免于军法审判。辛子陵指出，郭伯雄和徐才厚是所谓中共第三代领导核心江泽民为了搞"垂帘听政"而蓄意安插到胡温时代的军委领导班子的。
辛子陵说："郭伯雄和徐才厚是哼哈二将。他们两个像打篮球一样把胡锦涛看住了，就没上篮机会了。"
这位研究中国当代历史的退休军官还表示，当局为了保住军队的形象而放过郭伯雄，之所以徐才厚落马很久之后才动郭伯雄，是因为实在无法不追究这两人对军队严重腐败的责任。
辛子陵说："郭伯雄这些人，说起来实在是骇人听闻。晋升中将是两千万到三千万。晋升少将是五百万到一千万。谁给钱多就提谁。所以，在郭徐把持军权这一段，可以说，军队的统帅部门基本上烂掉了。原来也想着，能不能划出一个来。总是对军队的面子共产党的面子好一点吧？但是越掂量越不行，只能是实事求是，只能是把这个事情像做手术一样，要刮骨疗毒，要搞干净。"
* 魏京生：敏感时机抓军头意在震慑
*
在美国的著名中国异议人士魏京生认为，在北戴河会议前夕公布郭伯雄落马，这个动作意在震慑军中反对势力，为习近平树威，巩固权力，特别是军权。
他说："郭伯雄在军队也是个大头头。徐才厚弄掉之后，就是郭伯雄了。他们在军内都很有势力。所以，我觉得，在北戴河之前，选择这个时机把郭伯雄的事情公布了，也是给军内想造反的人一个警告吧。郭伯雄的事情一公布，按照共产党的惯例，在军内就要清理一批跟郭伯雄有关的。把军内想造反的人给压住。对北戴河会议来说，也给其他的一些头头们，不满意的，可能也是一个警告。我觉得这个意义是最重要的。"
魏京生分析指出，"中国共产党的军队说是什么党指挥枪，其实都是跟过去的老首长有很大关系。所以到胡锦涛温家宝这十年，一直拿不下军队。军队一直是有老关系的。其实江泽民时代军队的关系里头也很复杂，也是费了很大劲，差不多到他快要卸任的时候，军队才牢牢地掌握在手里。在那之前，大家也都注意到了，他不断地大换班。现在习近平也在大换班。但是习近平的做法跟江泽民又有所不同。除了大换班以外，他还从上面开始，把头儿给抓了。不是慢慢的、温和的那种，而是比较强势的。习近平首先他的动作很大，他在党内和干部阶层遇到的反弹也很大。他遇到的阻力也非常大。而且现在经济又不好。经济开始下滑，他的那些经济举措都失败了，所以他现在处在一个非常危险的时刻，这时候他下的手比较狠。"
近来盛传的一些小道消息称，一些从中共高层退休的老人意图在下个月举行北戴河会议时向习近平发难，甚至出现有人密谋在习近平9月访问美国期间发动政变的流言。原中共中央常委周永康在秘密审判中上个月被判无期徒刑、而不是人们普遍预期的死缓。一些分析人士研判，从轻发落周永康是中共党内派系激烈斗争的一种妥协结果。
* 辛子陵：江泽民或将被查
*
许多批评者指称，中共18大以来进行的大规模肃贪运动是选择性的，具有红二代身份的落网者极少。
对此，退休的原解放军大校辛子陵表示，军法处置郭伯雄表明中共高层反腐的意志坚决，对中国老百姓能起到振奋作用，对推动全国的反腐败也有很大意义。他预测中共前领导人江泽民可能受到追究。
他说："习近平一再说，没有底线，没有铁帽子王，谁有问题查谁。应该是这样的。这就涉及前最高领导人江泽民了。江的问题非办不可。但是比办郭伯雄更加稳妥，更加谨慎。意志要坚决，但是步骤要稳妥。要万无一失，不能在全国引起任何震动。把郭伯雄拿下来，就意味着军队这一块，可以保证不出岔子。习近平同志把军权是牢牢掌握住了。这是继续反腐深入进行的前提条件。"
* 魏京生：反腐陷入困境
*
流亡美国的老资格民运人士魏京生则认为，中国的一党专制体制造就了几乎无官不贪的局面，目前习近平同时正面临严峻的政治和经济现实，遇到中共官僚阶层的强大阻力，反腐已经到了反不下去的境地，因此可能在即将举行的北戴河会议上受到党内不同派系的严重挑战。
魏京生说："再反的话，那就官逼官反了。而且现在官逼官反已经是一个很现实的问题了。你想啊，那些官员们，谁屁股干净？那么下面谁知道要弄到谁头上呢？这么个反法的话，除非你有群众基础，我已经说了一两年了，你真正能动员老百姓来参与，就像老毛在文革时那样。那就动员老百姓，把老百姓给煽起来，再加上从上到下两面夹击的话，那个时候贪官污吏恐怕是都只能乖乖地俯首就擒。而你现在又害怕老百姓，你光靠你那权威，你有多大权威？你的权威是干部队伍，就是整个官僚阶层给你撑着的。你现在又要整这些官僚阶层，你又没有老百姓的支持，而且说实话你的权威也不够。"
* 魏京生：党内反对派系成习近平大忌
*
魏京生指出，习近平面临的党内政治对手不光是残酷镇压法轮功的江泽民及其亲信，更直接的是胡温时代形成的一些党内小圈子。
他说："法轮功当然是追着江泽民。但是我觉得江泽民已经不那么重要了。因为江泽民已经下台那么久了，十几年了。新的团团伙伙，新的圈子早就形成了。
当然，江泽民还是他们尊着的老前辈，对不对？但是，他们有他们自己的圈子，有他们自己的势力。所以，习近平要对付的实际上是胡温时代形成的团团伙伙。否则他拿不到实权。拿不到实权，中国不是有个传统，上有政策，下有对策嘛。你那边下了命令，人家总有办法对付你。这是他比较忌讳的。"
* 中共党报：反腐要算民心帐
*
中共党报人民日报31日就郭伯雄被宣布开除党籍依军法查办高调发表评论员文章。文章说，"反腐败斗争是一场输不起的攻坚战，越到紧要关头越不能"一篙松劲"，越是胶着状态越要持续发力。"
这篇以"铁腕反腐凝聚党心民心"为题目的文章说，由习王主导的反腐，"绝非一时兴起，也不是和谁过不去，而是要承担起历史和人民赋予的责任。"
文章接着表示，"不得罪成百上千的腐败分子，就要得罪13亿人民，也要得罪听党话、守规矩的广大党员干部，这是一笔再明白不过的民心账、政治账。"
报道的原始链接：
http://www.voachinese.com/content/former-pla-top-leader-procecuted-for-birbery-20150731/2887997.html
采访录音：
http://weijingsheng.org/interviews/interviews2015/WeiJSonGuoBXfall150731VOAinterview.mp3
-----------------------------------------------------------------
魏京生基金会及中国民主运动海外联席会议以推动中国的人权与民主为己任。
我们欢迎任何形式的帮助与贡献。我们愿与世界上为人权与民主而奋斗的人们一起努力。
我们希望您能够帮助我们散发我们的资料。但请标明出处与我们的网址：www.weijingsheng.org
欢迎投稿（暂无稿费）或批评建议，请寄信箱： HCP@WEIJINGSHENG.ORG
魏京生基金会通讯地址：
Wei
Jingsheng Foundation, P. O. Box 15449, Washington, DC 20003, USA
电话： 1-202-270-6980
魏京生基金会网址：WWW.weijingsheng.org
中国民主运动海外联席会议及中国团结工会的网址为：www.ChinaLaborUnion.org
阁下之所以收到本信，是因为阁下以前曾表示有兴趣了解魏京生先生和中国民主运动。
倘若阁下希望不再收到类似信息，请回复本信并用 unsubscribe 作为主题(Subject)。