Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article Release Issue: A973-W625



Release Date: November 27, 2016



Topic: Wei Jingsheng 's Analysis of the Political Situation of the Chinese Communist Regime (Voice of America "Issues and Opinions" Program)



Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)



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Editor's note: the following is the VOA introduction of its "Issues and Opinions" talk show on November 23, 2016, featuring its invited guest: Wei Jingsheng.



Voice of America "Issues and Opinions" Program: Wei Jingsheng 's Analysis of the Political Situation of the Chinese Communist Regime

Last updated: 2016.11.23 23:57

-- Hosted by Bao Shen of VOA


Washington -

On Monday, the website of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection published an article which stated that serious violations of the law, which included the cases of Zhou Yongkang, Bo Xilai, Guo Boxiong, Xu Caihou, etc. are a warning to the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) that "the country is not at peace", and thus the Communist Party should not relax political vigilance even for a moment.  The article also said that the first security issue for the Communist Party and national security is political security, while the most important aspect of the political security is the "security of ruling" for the Communist regime.  In 2016, the CCP convened the Sixth Plenary Session of its Eighteenth Congress, which established Xi Jinping as "the core leader."  Before and after the convening of that plenary session, Xi Jinping used people who once worked for him and those he trusted to replace many leaders including the leaders in the Beijing municipal government and many of the highest leaders of the municipalities of provincial and autonomous regions.  Xi also used his own confidants to control the armed forces, armed police and public security departments.  As the CCP preparations for its Nineteenth Congress are in full swing, what is the intention for the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection to warn that "the country is not at peace"?  What is the current state of power struggles and factional struggles at the highest level of the Chinese Communist Party?  Could Xi Jinping establish his own set of people and to enhance his core position during the CCP's 19th Congress next year?  And once he got his wish, where will Xi Jinping lead China?


The hosts asked: Since the Communist regime has sentenced both Ling Jihua and Guo Boxiong to life imprisonment in July this year, and sentenced Zhou Yongkang to life imprisonment in June 2015 and Bo Xilai to life imprisonment in July 2013, while Xu Caihou had already died in July 2013, why did the article by the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection state that "the country is not at peace"?  Where does the danger come from?  Wei Jingsheng expressed that Xi Jinping's administration faces attacks from two sides.  On one side, the party officials who were warned are disgruntled; on the other side, there is a stronger civil revolt that the CCP has never met, which includes the execution of Jia Jinglong and the protest of the Chinese veterans at the Central Military Committee building, etc.  These are unprecedented instability factors.


The Central Discipline Inspection Commission's article said the first security issue for national security is political security; the most important issue of the political security is the "security of ruling" for the Communist regime.  How to understand this "security of ruling?"  Is it not overturned?  Wei Jingsheng said that during the Mao Zedong era, "security" was focused on the security of Marxism-Leninism; while in the Deng Xiaoping era, it was focused on economic security; but now Xi Jinping is concentrating on the security within the Communist leadership.  From last year, Xi began to warn that no small cliques would be allowed within the CCP, which indicates that this unease within the Communist Party cannot be underestimated.  Although the people who are dissatisfied with the Communist Party will not rise in conflict with it, they will make their confrontation by hindrances and other negative approaches.  When there were similar crises during the Mao Zedong era, Mao had experienced measures to deal with them, but now Xi Jinping cannot catch up.


The hosts asked: The CCP held its Sixth Plenary Session of its Eighteenth Congress this fall, which established Xi Jinping as "the core leader."  What kind of concept does "the core leader" mean to you?  What is the practical significance of establishing Xi Jinping as "the core leader?"  Is Xi Jinping setting himself up as the third "core leader" after Mao Zedong and Deng Xiaoping?  Wei Jingsheng pointed out that "core" is defined to have reached a certain degree of power, prestige and ability.  However, Xi Jinping did not reach such a high degree yet he has set himself up as "the core leader", which resulted in a huge rebound of this "core" theory both inside and outside of the Communist leadership.  Xi Jinping should not try to occupy that supreme position, which is just accelerating the demise of himself.


Before and after the CCP's Sixth Plenary Session of the 18th Congress, Xi Jinping replaced top leaders of many provinces.  Reports said that the officials involved were as many as 20, while Xi Jinping also used his own people to control the army, armed police and public security departments.  Will Xi be able to place his own people in all positions and fully control the highest leading power of the Communist regime before next autumn when the CCP will have its 19th Congress?  Wei Jingsheng said that many foreign observers like to analyze from a foreign point of view.  In fact, the CCP officials are only working for the Communist Party in name, but working for themselves in reality.  When a new provincial governor comes to power, he may not have the capacity to mobilize his subordinates for a couple years; this is the problem.  Even if Xi Jinping replaced all the people with his own at all the important positions, it is still impossible to ensure that these people can immediately start making commands.  Moreover, Xi Jinping does not have the capacity to have everyone to follow him.  He could not balance either side: the people being not happy with the corruptions of officials, or the officials being not happy to be caught.  Xi Jinping's style of taking strong hardliner approaches will only intensify the contradictions.  If he softens a little, perhaps he could barely survive to the end of his term.


Bao Shen questioned: Up to now Xi Jinping has broken the CCP's approach of "the preceding leader designating the successor of the current leader" that has been carried out for the last 30 years.  A successor has not been designated.  What is his intention?  Will he, as many experts have said, continue to hold power even after the 20th Congress of the CCP?


Wei Jingsheng said regarding the successor issue it must be emphasized that, first, the "designating of a successor by a processor of the current leader" itself is not legitimate; second, when the successor is not designated, it will result in dissatisfaction -- both competitors and people dissatisfied within the Communist Party will not ignore Xi Jinping trying to occupy the throne of the highest power for his whole life.


The host asked: What is the biggest crisis that Xi Jinping is facing?  Economic collapse?  Coup?  Military coup?  The CCP has constantly stressed "absolute loyalty", "the media belongs to the CCP" and "the CCP leads everything."  Can this kind of crisis be resolved when the loyalty within the CCP improves?  Wei Jingsheng thinks that the biggest crisis of Xi Jinping is that the Chinese Communist Party has completely lost its trust from the Chinese people.  People do not believe in Xi Jinping and all the promises and slogans of the CCP.  When a governing power has lost people's hearts to this extent, it is already a miracle for the regime to be maintained.  Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign has only been in effect a short time, but it already let people completely lose their confidence.  People consider his anti-corruption as "the boy who cried wolf" - using anti-corruption slogans to engage in political struggles.  By taking a ruthless hardliner on both the officials and the people, Xi Jinping has offended both sides completely.


Some listeners/viewers and netizens asked what changes China has made politically since Xi Jinping became the top leader for the Communist Party, the country, and the army in2012?  And what direction China is headed to?  Is China at the end of a dynasty?  Is Xi Jinping going to learn from the Singapore model?  Wei Jingsheng pointed out that the reality in China makes people no longer believe in the Communist Party, even including those old revolutionaries and party members.  Why do so many people not believe in communism and not abide by the provisions of the Party either?  Xi Jinping needs to think and to answer this question.  Moreover, it is impossible for the CCP to replicate the Singapore model because Singapore has an independent and complete judicial system thus allowing the regime to govern stably.  But the CCP has no rule of law - when there are no rules, it will not just harm the others but also itself.


Wei Jingsheng expressed that from the dynasty point of view the Chinese Communist regime has been around for a while.  The resentment of the common people is increasing and the bureaucratic classes are becoming increasingly bitter as well.  This resentment will eventually lead to the collapse of the Chinese Communist regime.  No matter how it will collapse, democracy is attributable.  The root of a democratic system is not the election, but the opposition.  Where there is opposition and opposition parties, the people have a choice.  Only in this way can the rights of ordinary people be guaranteed.


Xi Jinping has been fighting corruption for four years.  How effective has it been?  What changes have been made to the Chinese bureaucratic class and their ruling?  What has changed with the status and role of the Central Discipline Inspection Commission and its future development?  Wei Jingsheng said, Xi Jinping's ruling has been to take back all the slight concessions to the people by Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao, so the ideological and political environment has deteriorated in China.  As for supervision, countless means of supervision were invented in ancient China, but never were they able to control corruption because all the officials were acting as a gang, with their interests intertwined.  Only by adopting independent political parties, independent judiciaries and independent media like the West, could we see them playing the role of a real supervisor.


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Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article Release Issue: A973-W625



Release Date: November 27, 2016



Topic: Wei Jingsheng 's Analysis of the Political Situation of the Chinese Communist Regime (Voice of America "Issues and Opinions" Program)



Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)











最后更新:2016.11.23 23:57

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