Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article: A1352-W965



Release Date: January 13, 2021



Topic: Xi Jinping's Diplomatic Conspiracy -- Wei Jingsheng

标题:习近平的外交阴谋 -- 魏京生


Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)



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Xi Jinping's Diplomatic Conspiracy

-- Wei Jingsheng



Recently, people have been immersed in the news about the assault on the US Capitol, and few people have noticed another big news item.  German Chancellor Angela Merkel took advantage of the recent chaos and went all out to reach an investment deal with China.  Generally commentaries think of it as Xi Jinping's diplomatic victory, which has fulfilled his many years of trying to split the alliance between the United States and Europe to accomplish his strategy of conquering each separately.


From the predecessor of Xi Jinping’s predecessor, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) hoped to undermine the unity of the league of democratic countries by starting with Europe.  The applicable point to undermine this unity is that both Europe and the United States want greater economic benefits in China.  In particular, among the western countries Germany is not only the only country with no trade deficits with China, but also has a large investment in China.  Its big business enterprises are also the strongest in lobbying the government.


Because there is no trade deficit, the society’s demand for balanced trade is not strong, and public opinion against unfair trade is not strong either.  This is the biggest difference between Germany and most Western countries.  Chancellor Merkel has announced that she will no longer remain in power, that is, she will no longer be responsible for what follows.  It just so happens that several of the top leaders of the European Union are Germans, and Merkel took over the EU presidency last year.  She took this opportunity to reach the long-awaited trade deal with Xi Jinping at the end of last year.  This deal is a big gift package she gave to Xi Jinping.


The first effect of this deal is the betrayal to its ally, the United States.  The United States is fighting a trade war with China for fair trade between China and the rest of the world.  When China was about to be unable to hold on and thus to make compromises, Germany's betrayal actually gave a blow to the United States.  The response of the United States will determine the changes in the world structure and the stability of Xi Jinping's position.


If the Biden administration really wants the United States to return to its past appeasement policy, his team can say: We must unite our allies against China, so we must maintain a policy consistent with our allies.  However, with the current political atmosphere in the United States, will the US Congress and the people let them do this?  The US system is that the Congress makes policy and the executive branch executes them.  The majority of the two political parties will not agree to retreat to the appeasement policy.  And as most observers around the world have said, the Biden administration can only continue what the Trump administration has begun, and unite with allies besides Europe so its effect will even exceed what Trump administration did.


Faced with a market that is several times of the size of the European Union, how would Xi Jinping choose?  He can only go back and compromise with the United States, with the strength of this compromise to be greater than that of Europe.  Otherwise, the American people and Congress will not agree.  Europe’s current position of betraying the United States will be remembered after China compromises with the United States.  Moreover, the Chinese market cannot be opened to the whole world at once, and the one to be sacrificed must be Europe; maybe not Germany, but other small European countries which have always been the targets of bullying.


From the perspective of the United States, after China is fully open to the United States, will the United States care if Europe is betrayed by China?  The American people and Congress consider their own interests, and if there is a memory of Europe betraying the United States, so likely their own interests will take precedence.  Yet there are not any psychological barriers for China not to abide by the agreement with Europe.  The CCP has a habit of not keeping promises.  Only under pressure to harm itself, the CCP will reluctantly keep its promise.


Germany has a tradition.  After its Prime Ministers and governments made big deals for foreign companies, these top officials could work in some foreign companies for high incomes.  Chancellor Merkel may not do such a shameful thing.  But tradition is tradition, and possibilities still exist.


From the perspective of Xi Jinping, despite the cooperation of Chancellor Merkel, the strategy of instigating discord basically has no hope of success.  The dictatorial system in China has enabled it to be successful by controlling a few people at the top.  Therefore, the diplomatic thinking of CCP’s Xi Jinping has formed along this thought.  But democratic countries are different.  If you can't control the American people, you can't control the Congress; if you can't control the Congress, it still will not work even if you controlled the White House.


Jiang Zemin and his successors succeeded in using deception and bribery to secure the American leadership.  In the words of its think tank scholar: We have our CCP’s people in the upper-class and elites classes of the USA, who could influence American policies.  But that was when the American people were deceived by these elites.  Now after the four years of Trump’s administration, the United States and the world have woken up.  Will Jiang Zemin's trick still work?



(This English version is translated by Ciping HUANG, without any compensation.  Wei Jingsheng and the Wei Jingsheng Foundation appreciate her decades of contribution, especially for allowing the use and distribution of her translations of these commentaries.)


Original link of the commentary broadcasted by Radio Free Asia:



To hear Mr. Wei Jingsheng's related commentary, please visit:



(Written on January 12 and recorded on January 13, 2021.  Broadcasted by Radio Free Asia on January 13, 2021.)



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Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article: A1352-W965



Release Date: January 13, 2021



Topic: Xi Jinping's Diplomatic Conspiracy -- Wei Jingsheng

标题:习近平的外交阴谋 -- 魏京生


Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)









-- 魏京生







































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