Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article: A1378-W987



Release Date: May 3, 2021



Topic: Should the US Have a Clear Strategy or a Vague Strategy for Taiwan? -- Wei Jingsheng

标题:美国对台湾应该战略清晰还是战略模糊? -- 魏京生


Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)



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Should the US Have a Clear Strategy or a Vague Strategy for Taiwan?

-- Wei Jingsheng



The more than one century old British magazine "The Economist" published a cover article with a title that named Taiwan as “the most dangerous place on earth.”   There was a lot of related talk and discussion and the reporters interviewed people from all walks of life in Taiwan.  Their responses are very interesting.  The most representative one was: we are not nervous; it is the foreigners who are nervous for us.  The second most representative one was that: these people are making us to buy weapons again.  The mentality of the Chinese little landlord is shown very well by these people in Taiwan.


Has the Taiwan Strait crisis entered a dangerous moment?  It was not really so a few years ago.  At that time, the economic situation in Mainland China was relatively good, and Xi Jinping's position was good.  Xi was busy purging the bureaucrats to ensure that his personal dictatorship was more stable.  He was fighting against corruption and advocating integrity, singing red and fighting black, just as a powerful emperor should do.  Xi had no time to take care of that tiny place of Taiwan.


Nowadays, Xi’s anti-corruption and advocating integrity are considered to have had no anti-corruption effect, but merely to clean up the ranks for himself.  China's economy is declining rapidly, and public grievances accumulated by various unfavorable factors are boiling.  Diplomacy also has become wolf warrior like, while the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is relying more and more to incite extreme nationalism to gain legitimacy.  At this time, a climax is needed to cover up the failure of the dictatorship, while the expansion of the Chinese military power is steadily moving forward thus the cost of adventure is greatly reduced.  This is quite similar to Hitler's situation back then.


As American politicians often ask me: Which country around China will be the target of China’s attack?  I replied jokingly: North Korea would be the best.  The common people are most nervous about the nuclear weapons possessed by North Korea, which is not very friendly to the Communist China despite it received a lot of aids from China.  But I would more seriously reply: Of course it is Taiwan.  There are three reasons for this.  The first is that it is considered as justified – even the USA would admit that it should be regarded as a civil war.  The second is that the United States has no time to react.  If it wants to declare war on China, it has to wait for the US Congress to debate and approve it.  The third is that the people of Taiwan are prosperous and unwilling to fight.  They even wishfully believe that it is impossible to have a war with the Mainland Chinese Communist regime.  This is the same mentality that the landlord and rich peasants on Mainland China had before they were suppressed by the Communist regime 70 years ago.  Instead, they even asked not to stimulate the Chinese Communist regime to prompt it to go to war.


This third point is indeed Xi Jinping's best chance of winning the war against Taiwan.  The art of war said: You can win by successful calculation, as the people of Taiwan are encouraging Xi Jinping to take risks.  The fundamental reason why Israel is invincible in the face of powerful enemies is that all its people are rational and know how to protect themselves.  The people of Taiwan have no intention of war, and no matter how anxious a few politicians are, they cannot change the situation of defeat.  What's more, Taiwan’s weapons are not superior, or even inferior.  Where is its chance of winning?


The main argument for the little landlords in Taiwan who do not know fear is that they are important and the United States must protect them.  They are bidding on the interests of the United States and international credibility.  If Taiwan is lost, the world will no longer believe in the protection of the United States, and the status of the United States will decline.  This is a reason, but it's not that strong a reason.  The wishful thinking of the talents on the streets is actually the least credible.


The United States does have a motive to protect Taiwan.  There is no doubt about it.  But is it as easy to go to war with the world’s second largest country as it is to decide to occupy Grenada?  Moreover, the United States still has a large number of pro-communist politicians and scholars, including anti-war mass organizations, to create resistance.  Only if Taiwan resists for a long enough time will the United States and Japan will have a chance to save it, given that the United States can really get the approval of Congress and go to war with the second military power in the world.


Therefore, the first important factor in defending Taiwan is the determination of the people of Taiwan to defend themselves.  But with a gang of politicians followed the direction of Taiwanese businessmen for campaign funds, while the Taiwanese government officials secretly communicated with Communist leaders in Mainland China and ganged up, how could the people of Taiwan afford the determination to resist?  In addition, the small landlords who do not know the outside world say: How proud is our Taiwan, we are the best village within the thirty miles radius, and who dares to provoke us?  Thus other villagers follow the saying like the ostriches that buried their heads in the sand.


The new US intelligence director Avril Haines said that the related strategy should not be clear, because otherwise China will cause trouble to the United States.  This reason is indeed far-fetched.  It is because she does not want to offend pro-Taiwan politicians.  The real reason is that the Americans have distrusted Taiwan for many years, which has been relying on the protection of the United States while linking up with the Communist regime to make money.  Both political parties were doing the same.  Once the Taiwan policy is clear, these wolves without hearts will intensify their words and actions, until they finally drag the United States into the quagmire.



(This English version is translated by Ciping HUANG, without any compensation.  Wei Jingsheng and the Wei Jingsheng Foundation appreciate her decades of contribution, especially for allowing the use and distribution of her translations of these commentaries.)


Original link of the commentary broadcasted by Radio Free Asia:



To hear Mr. Wei Jingsheng's related commentary, please visit:



(Written and recorded on May 1, 2021.  Broadcasted by Radio Free Asia on May 3, 2021.)



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Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article: A1378-W987



Release Date: May 3, 2021



Topic: Should the US Have a Clear Strategy or a Vague Strategy for Taiwan? -- Wei Jingsheng

标题:美国对台湾应该战略清晰还是战略模糊? -- 魏京生


Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)









-- 魏京生





































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