Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article: A1468-W1065



Release Date: April 27, 2022



Topic: Xi Jinping's Situation Is Not Very Good -- Wei Jingsheng 

标题:习近平的形势不太妙 -- 魏京生


Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)



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Xi Jinping's Situation Is Not Very Good

-- Wei Jingsheng



Xi Jinping's recent situation is not very good.  Just as he thought that he had succeeded to eliminate dissidents within the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) after working hard for a long time, and to crack down on public opinion, suddenly the virus he deployed personally invaded, causing the whole China to enter a new wave of epidemics one after another.  In order to show his achievements in fighting the epidemic, also because he listened to the flattery of a group of flattering scientists, he actually believed that he could achieve zero infection of the virus.  Not only did the strategy of locking down cities fail to show results, but it actually increased infections, causing anger and resentment among the Chinese people.  This policy has resulted a great negative impact on Chinese economy, and many ordinary Chinese will again, or already started their hard time to survive.


Xi messed up domestic affairs himself, as if he didn't want to be re-elected for a third term.  But everyone knows that he has been preparing for his third term for several years with his established goal to be the leader forever, that is, to be the emperor that everyone criticizes.  We didn't see any signs that he changed his mind, nor his intention to give up his third term, so why did he mess things up?  There is only one possibility; that is his stupidity has reached an even higher level.


How to solve this predicament?  I guess even he has also realized his own stupidity now, yet his flatters have no good ideas.  Xi acts his own dictator’s way, and it is difficult for him to listen to the opinions of others.  If one doesn't say anything, one cannot be wrong; but one might be wrong if one does say something.  This is the life philosophy of the courtiers under autocratic politics.  When the courtiers become prosperous, the country will decline step by step.  Anyway, at the end, it will be the emperor who lost his head, not the courtier, so who cares?


Under such a situation, Mr. Xi may consider a crooked trick that has always worked, which is to start a war.  Since Xi came to power, politicians from all over the world have considered this possibility.  People often ask me who will be his target.  After lining up the neighboring countries, it is found that Taiwan is the most suitable target.  I joked that actually North Korea is the best target, but everyone said no, because there is no legitimate reason and the close relationship between North and South Korea is also involved, thus the United States will be embarrassed.  Taiwan is still the most suitable target, with justified reasons and its weak military, thus it is the best target of the Chinese Communist regime.


Whether the CCP could take over Taiwan or not, it doesn't matter.  The important thing is that the leaders will not be changed during the war.  This is the most important.  It doesn't matter whether the country wins or loses, the important thing is when the war started, the plans of a group of opposition who want to replace the leader at the 20th National Congress of the CCP will be in vain.  There will be no need to discuss President Xi's re-election.  Just like President Roosevelt during World War II, when the convention got broken and he got re-elected without there being an election.  Wouldn't that be nice?


But in this way, the people in mainland China and Taiwan will suffer.  Taiwan would be bombed into pieces like Ukraine now.  Who knows how many years will take to recover.  Because the mainland China will be sanctioned by developed countries, life will become more and more difficult.  Emperor Xi's seat will be secured, and the CCP will have no worries, but the repression and exploitation of the Chinese people will become even more ruthless.  Besides Xi Jinping and his henchmen, who can benefit?  I am afraid that, except for Russia, the economy of most countries will be negatively affected, especially that of Japan and South Korea.


How can this worst-case scenario be avoided?  I'm afraid that one can't rely on the Treaty of San Francisco for protection.  That treaty is valid for signatory countries and not binding on non-signatory countries.  Even that treaty avoided the issue of Taiwan's status, or it was unnecessary to raise it, because justifiably Taiwan in 1952 was the territory of the Republic of China.


The bad news for Xi Jinping is that because of Ukraine's stubborn resistance, Western countries have increased their aid to Ukraine, including military aid.  Although Russia has adjusted its strategy and tactics, the possibility of winning is gradually declining.  If Taiwan can get the same level of assistance, or even get involved, the possibility for the fall of the Communist regime in China due to Xi Jinping’s war will increase greatly.


However, in that case, the people of Taiwan and mainland China will pay a great price.  But in the long run, the collapse of the Communist regime in China will be a good thing for the people of Taiwan and Mainland China.  Long-term pain is worse than short-term pain.  You have to pay to enjoy an ice cream.  If instead you want to get benefit without a payment – such a good deal only exists in the pockets of liars.



(This English version is translated by Ciping HUANG, without any compensation.  Wei Jingsheng and the Wei Jingsheng Foundation appreciate her decades of contribution, especially for allowing the use and distribution of her translations of these commentaries.)


Original link of the commentary broadcasted by Radio Free Asia:



To hear Mr. Wei Jingsheng's related commentary, please visit:



(Written and recorded on April 26, 2022.  Broadcasted by Radio Free Asia on April 27, 2022.)



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Wei Jingsheng Foundation News and Article: A1468-W1065



Release Date: April 27, 2022



Topic: Xi Jinping's Situation Is Not Very Good -- Wei Jingsheng 

标题:习近平的形势不太妙 -- 魏京生


Original Language Version: Chinese (Chinese version at the end)









-- 魏京生





































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